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Prediction for CME (2013-06-28T01:54:00-CME-001)

CME Observed Time: 2013-06-28T01:54Z
iSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/402/-1
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2013-06-30T10:40Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
Max Kp: 3.0

Predicted Arrival Time: 2013-06-30T12:00Z (-7.0h, +7.0h)
Prediction Method: WSA-ENLIL + Cone (GSFC SWRC)
Prediction Method Note:
## NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Space Weather Research Center ( SWRC )
## Message Type: Space Weather Alert
##
## Message Issue Date: 2013-06-28T19:23:00Z
## Message ID: 20130628-AL-001
##Summary:
O-type CME detected by STEREO-A COR2 / STEREO-B COR2 / SOHO LASCO C3.
Start time of the event: 2013-06-28T01:54Z.
Estimated speed: ~1200 km/s.
Estimated opening half-angle: 41 deg.
Direction (lon./lat.): 35/-39 in Heliocentric Earth Ecliptic coordinates.
Activity ID: 2013-06-28T01:54:00-CME-001.
Based on preliminary heliospheric modeling carried out at NASA GSFC Space Weather Research Center, it is estimated that there is a slight chance for a CME flank impact at Earth roughly around 2013-06-30T12:00Z.
Links to the movies of the modeled event:
http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20130628_012500_anim.tim-den.gif
http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20130628_012500_anim.tim-vel.gif
http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20130628_012500_anim.tim-den-Stereo_A.gif
http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20130628_012500_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_A.gif
http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20130628_012500_anim.tim-den-Stereo_B.gif
http://iswa.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/downloads/20130628_012500_anim.tim-vel-Stereo_B.gif
## Notes:
SCORE CME typification system:
S-type: CMEs with speeds less than 500 km/s
C-type: Common 500-999 km/s
O-type: Occasional 1000-1999 km/s
R-type: Rare 2000-2999 km/s
ER-type: Extremely Rare >3000 km/s
http://swrc.gsfc.nasa.gov/main/score
NASA GSFC Space Weather Research Center ( SWRC, http://swrc.gsfc.nasa.gov ) Disclaimer
Data and/or information from the NASA GSFC Space Weather Research Center is provided ?as is? without any warranty of any kind, either expressed, implied, or statutory, including, but not limited to, any warranty that the data and/or information will conform to specifications, any implied warranties of merchantability, fitness for a particular purpose, or freedom from infringement, any warranty that the information will be error free, or any warranty that documentation, if provided, will conform to the data and/or information. In no event shall the United States Government, or its contractors or subcontractors, be liable for any damages, including, but not limited to, direct, indirect, special or consequential damages, arising out of, resulting from, or in any way connected with this information, whether or not based upon warranty, contract, tort, or otherwise, whether or not injury was sustained by persons or property or otherwise, and whether or not loss was sustained from, or arose out of the results of, or use of, the data and/or information. The United States Government disclaims all warranties and liabilities regarding third party data and/or information, if present in the data and/or information generated and / or compiled by the NASA GSFC Space Weather Research Center, and distributes it ?as is?.
Use of data and/or information from the NASA GSFC Space Weather Research Center does not, in any manner, constitute an endorsement by NASA of any test results, resulting designs, hardware, or other matters. Use of data and/or information from the NASA GSFC Space Weather Research Center does not, in any manner, constitute the grant of a license to RECIPIENT under any NASA copyright, patent, patent application or other intellectual property.
The terms of this disclaimer shall be construed, and the legal relations between the parties hereto shall be determined, in accordance with United States federal law.
For questions, comments, requests etc. contact: GSFC-Space-Weather-Center
Lead Time: 39.28 hour(s)
Difference: -1.33 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Leila Mays (GSFC) on 2013-06-28T19:23Z
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